Prospects of China's New Energy Vehicle Industry
-
摘要:发展新能源汽车已经成为世界各国的共识,中国为实现"到2020年单位国内生产总值CO2排放比2005年下降40%~45%"的目标和汽车产业"弯道超车"的历史使命,将其列入七大战略性新兴产业之中。通过研究认为:中国目前发展新能源汽车能够实现节能减排,但是,目前发展新能源汽车存在着消费者认可度不高、政府补贴隐含较大金融风险,充电、换电设施建设缓慢,动力电池技术不成熟等诸多问题,需要政府、企业统筹规划,推进动力电池的研发和相关基础设施建设,同时积极引入民间资本,以控制补贴带来的金融风险。Abstract:The development of new energy vehicles has become the consensus in the world. To realize the goal of"lowering carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP by 40% to 45% in 2020 compared with 2005", and the historical missions of"corner overtaking" in auto industry, Chinese government has also listed the development of new energy vehicle as one of the seven strategic emerging industries. This study concludes that the development of new energy vehicles can achieve energy-saving and emissions reduction, but we are also facing many problems such as consumer's recognition, financial risk of the government subsidy, slow electric facilities construction, underdeveloped battery technology and so on. In order to promote the development of new energy vehicles, the government and enterprises should work together to promote the battery research and related infrastructure constructions, while private capital should be introduced to control financial risks brought by subsidies.
-
[1] 中国石油集团经济技术研究院. 2013年国内外油气行业发展报告[R]. 中国石油集团经济技术研究院,2013. [2] Friedlingstein P,Andrew R M,Rogelj J,et al. Persistent growth of CO2emissions and implications for reaching climate targets[J]. Nature Geoscience. 2014(7):709-715. [3] 周苏,江艳,陈翌等. 中国车用燃料WTW分析及电动车发展模式思考[J]. 长沙交通学院学报,2010,26(2):65-70. [4] 王震坡,孙逢春. 电动汽车能耗分配及影响因素分析[J]. bob手机在线登陆学报,2004,24(4):306-310. [5] Jeremy Hackney,Richard de Neufville. Life cycle model of alternative fuel vehicles:emissions,energy and cost trade-offs[J]. Transportation Research Part A,2001,35(3):243-266. [6] 孔维政,李琼慧,汪晓露. 基于全周期能源利用效率的电动汽车节能减排分析[J]. 中国电力,2012,45(9):64-67. [7] 谭忠富,王抒祥,何洋,等. 电动汽车节能与减排潜力计算模型[J]. 现代电力,2013,30(2):79-81. [8] Reed T Doucette,Malcolm D McCulloch. Modeling the prospects of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles to reduce CO2emissions [J]. Applied Energy,2011(88):2315-2323. [9] 施晓清,李笑诺,杨建新. 低碳交通电动汽车碳减排潜力及其影响因素分析[J]. 环境科学,2013,34(1):385-394. [10] 张晨曦,文福拴,薛禹胜,等. 电动汽车发展的社会综合效益分析[J]. 华北电力大学学报,2014,41(3):55-62. [11] 李宏刚. 多种车用能源与车辆油井到车辆(WTW)评价研究[D]. 长春:吉林大学,2006. [12] 国家电网能源研究院. 中国发电能源供需与电源发展分析报告(2013)[M]. 北京:中国电力出版社,2013:105-107. [13] 顾先青,潘卫国,王文欢,等. 大型火电机组供电煤耗率比较分析[J]. 上海电力学院学院,2009,25(2):109-112. [14] 中国汽车技术研究中心. 节能与新能源汽车年鉴(2012)[M]. 北京:中国经济出版社,2012:384-387. [15] 薛澜. 应对气候变化的风险治理[M]. 北京:科学出版社,2014:204-210. [16] 唐葆君,郑茜. 中国电动汽车配套基础设施布局需求侧研究——基于Logit回归的消费偏好分析[J]. bob手机在线登陆学报:社会科学版,2013,15(4):14-20. -
![WeChat](http://www.frunetbio.com/journal/fileBJLGDXXBSKB/journal/article/bjlgdxxbshkxb/2015/2/PIC/wechat_cn_20150201.jpg)
计量
- 文章访问数:1847
- HTML全文浏览量:0
- PDF下载量:2168
- 被引次数:0