留言板

尊敬的读者、作者、审稿人, 关于本刊的投稿、审稿、编辑和出版的任何问题, 您可以本页添加留言。我们将尽快给您答复。谢谢您的支持!

姓名
邮箱
手机号码
标题
留言内容
验证码

基于序化机理的稳健型股票价值投资决策——一个研究框架

宋鹏,梁吉业,李常洪

downloadPDF
宋鹏, 梁吉业, 李常洪. 基于序化机理的稳健型股票价值投资决策——一个研究框架[J]. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2016, (3): 75-83. doi: 10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2016.0310
引用本文: 宋鹏, 梁吉业, 李常洪. 基于序化机理的稳健型股票价值投资决策——一个研究框架[J]. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2016, (3): 75-83.doi:10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2016.0310
SONG Peng, LIANG Jiye, LI Changhong. Research on Robust Stock Value Investing Decision Making: An Research Framework[J]. Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology (Social Sciences Edition), 2016, (3): 75-83. doi: 10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2016.0310
Citation: SONG Peng, LIANG Jiye, LI Changhong. Research on Robust Stock Value Investing Decision Making: An Research Framework[J].Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology (Social Sciences Edition), 2016, (3): 75-83.doi:10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2016.0310

基于序化机理的稳健型股票价值投资决策——一个研究框架

doi:10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2016.0310
基金项目:

国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(71031006);国家自然科学基金青年项目(71301090);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金资助项目(12YJC630174);山西省高等学校创新人才支持计划资助项目(2013052006)

Research on Robust Stock Value Investing Decision Making: An Research Framework

  • 摘要:面对资本市场风险加剧的现实背景,以"公司经营业绩与股票市场业绩一致趋优"为稳健型投资的核心要素,立足于区间数据表示、会计信息度量两个关键要素,开展稳健型股票价值投资的多准则决策建模研究。面向稳健型投资决策目标,提出满足"稳健性""局部性""全局性"3个特性的序化机理,围绕关键特征选择、特征评价、全序化建模的主体脉络建立系统性多准则决策方法,进而构建"稳健型股票价值投资决策"的研究框架。
  • [1] MARKOWITZ H. Portfolio selection[J]. The Journal of Finance,1952,7(1):77-91.
    [2] GRAHAM B,DODD D. Security Analysis[M]. New York:McGraw-Hill,1934.
    [3] FAMA E F,FRENCH K R. Value versus growth:the international evidence[J]. The Journal of Finance,1998,53(6):1975-1999.
    [4] FAMA E F,FRENCH K R. The cross-section of expected stock returns[J]. The Journal of Finance,1992,47(2):427-465.
    [5] FAMA E F,FRENCH K R. Size,value,and momentum in international stock returns[J]. Journal of Financial Economics,2012,105(3):457-472.
    [6] LAKONISHOK J,SHLEIFER A,VISHNY R W. Contrarian investment,extrapolation,and risk[J]. The Journal of Finance,1994,49(5):1541-1578.
    [7] 肖军,徐信忠. 中国股市价值反转投资策略有效性实证研究[J]. 经济研究,2004(3):55-64.
    [8] 黄惠平,彭博. 市场估值与价值投资策略——基于中国证券市场的经验研究[J]. 会计研究,2010(10):40-46.
    [9] HASAN M B,ALAM M N,AMIN M R,RAHAMAN M A. The size and value effect to explain cross-section of expected stock returns in Dhaka Stock Exchange[J]. International Journal of Economics and Finance,2015,7(1):14-23.
    [10] WILLIAMS J B. The theory of investment value[M]. Cambridge:Harvard University Press,1938.
    [11] FARRELL J L. The dividend discount model:a primer[J]. Financial Analysts Journal,1985,41(6):16-19,22-25.
    [12] SORENSEN E H,WILLIAMSON D A. Some evidence on the value of dividend discount models[J]. Financial Analysts Journal,1985,41(6):60-69.
    [13] OHLSON J A. The theory of value and earnings,and an introduction to the Ball-Brown analysis[J]. Contemporary Accounting Research,1991,8(1):1-19.
    [14] OHLSON J A. Earnings,book values,and dividends in equity valuation[J]. Contemporary Accounting Research,1995,11(2):661-687.
    [15] FELTHAM G A,OHLSON J A. Valuation and clean surplus accounting for operating and financial activities[J]. Contemporary Accounting Research,1995,11(2):689-731.
    [16] JIANG X Q,LEE B S. An empirical test of the accounting-based residual income model and the traditional dividend discount model[J]. Journal of Business,2005,78(4):1465-1504.
    [17] LEVY R A.,KRIPOTOS S L. Earnings growth,P/E's and relative price strength[J]. Financial Analysts Journal,1969,25(6):60-67.
    [18] BASU S. Investment performance of common stocks in relation to their price-earnings ratios:a test of the efficient market hypothesis[J]. The Journal of Finance,1977,32(3):663-682.
    [19] HART J V D,SLAGTER E,DIJK D V. Stock selection strategies in emerging markets[J]. Journal of Empirical Finance,2003,10(1-2):105-132.
    [20] KYRIAZIS D,CHRISTOU C. A re-examination of the performance of value strategies in the athens stock exchange[J]. International Advances in Economic Research,2013,19(2):131-151.
    [21] KO K C,LIN S J,SU H J,CHANG H H. Value investing and technical analysis in Taiwan stock market[J]. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,2014,26:14-36.
    [22] REINGANUM M R. Misspecification of capital asset pricing:empirical anomalies based on earnings' yields and market values[J]. Journal of Financial Economics,1981,9(1):19-46.
    [23] JACOBS B I,LEVY K N. Disentangling equity return regularities:new insights and investment opportunities[J]. Financial Analysts Journal,1988,44(3):18-43.
    [24] MAYUR M. Relationship between price-earnings ratios and stock value in an emerging market[J]. Paradigm,2015,19(1):52-64.
    [25] RAMEZANALIA M M,SETAYESHB M,JANANIB M H. A study on relationship between the return of value/growth portfolio and market return:evidence from Tehran Stock Exchange[J]. Management Science Letters,2014,4(7):1499-1502.
    [26] FAMA E F,FRENCH K R. Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds[J]. Journal of Financial Economics,1993,33(1):3-56.
    [27] FAMA E F,FRENCH K R. Size and book-to-market factors in earnings and returns[J]. The Journal of Finance,1995,50(1):131-155.
    [28] FAMA E F,FRENCH K R. Multifactor explanations of asset pricing anomalies[J]. The Journal of Finance,1996,51(1):55-84.
    [29] FAMA E F,FRENCH K R. The anatomy of value and growth stock returns[J]. Financial Analysts Journal,2007,63(6):44-54.
    [30] HAUGEN R A. The new finance:the case against efficient markets[M]. New Jersey:Prentice Hall,1995.
    [31] CHAN L K C,LAKONISHOK J. Value and growth investing:review and update[J]. Financial Analysts Journal,2004,60(1):71-86.
    [32] MAGNUSON N. The role of expectations in value and glamour stock returns[J]. Journal of Behavioral Finance,2011,12(2):98-115.
    [33] XIDONAS P,MAVROTAS G,PSARRAS J. A multiple criteria decision-making approach for the selection of stocks[J]. Journal of the Operational Research Society,2010,61(8):1273-1287.
    [34] VEZMELAIA A S,LASHGARIB Z,KEYGHOBADIB A. Portfolio selection using ELECTRE III:evidence from Tehran Stock Exchange[J]. Decision Science Letters,2015,4(2):227-236.
    [35] TSAI C F,HSIAO Y C. Combining multiple feature selection methods for stock prediction:union,intersection,and multi-intersection approaches[J]. Decision Support Systems,2010,50(1):258-269.
    [36] YU H H,CHEN R D,ZHANG G P. A SVM stock selection model within PCA[J]. Procedia Computer Science,2014,31:406-412.
    [37] TIRYAKI F,AHLATCIOGLU M. Fuzzy stock selection using a new fuzzy ranking and weighting algorithm[J]. Applied Mathematics and Computation,2005,170(1):144-157.
    [38] SEVASTJANOV P,DYMOVA L. Stock screening with use of multiple criteria decision making and optimization[J]. Omega,2009,37(3):659-671.
    [39] DYER J S,FISHBURN P C,STEUER R E,WALLENIUS J,ZIONTS S. Multiple criteria decision making,multiattribute utility theory:the next ten years[J]. Management Science,1992,38(5):645-654.
    [40] WALLENIUS J,DYER J S,FISHBURN P C,STEUER R E,ZIONTS S,DEB K. Multiple criteria decision making,multiattribute utility theory:recent accomplishments and what lies ahead[J]. Management Science,2008,54(7):1336-1349.
    [41] 樊治平,张全,马健. 多属性决策中权重确定的一种集成方法[J]. 管理科学学报,1998,1(3):50-53.
    [42] 徐泽水. 语言多属性决策的目标规划模型[J]. 管理科学学报,2006,9(2):9-17.
    [43] 袁宇,关涛,闫相斌,李一军. 基于区间直觉模糊数相关系数的多准则决策模型[J]. 管理科学学报,2014,17(4):11-18.
    [44] SHEFRIN H,STATMAN M. Behavioral capital asset pricing theory[J]. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,1994,29(3):323-349.
    [45] AMIHUD Y,MENDELSON H. Asset pricing and the bid-ask spread[J]. Journal of Financial Economics,1986,17(2):223-249.
    [46] LAM K S K,TAM L H K. Liquidity and asset pricing:evidence from the Hong Kong stock market[J]. Journal of Banking & Finance,2011,35(9):2217-2230.
    [47] EASTON P D,HARRIS T S. Earnings as an explanatory variable for returns[J]. Journal of Accounting Research,1991,29(1):19-36.
    [48] COLLINS D W,MAYDEW E L,WEISS I S. Changes in the value-relevance of earnings and book values over the past forty years[J]. Journal of Accounting and Economics,1997,24(1):39-67.
    [49] CHAN K N,CHAN L K C,JEGADEESH N,LAKONISHOk J. Earnings quality and stock returns[J]. Journal of Business,2006,79(3):1041-1082.
    [50] DIDAY E. From data to knowledge:probabilistic objects for a symbolic data analysis[C]. Series in Discrete Mathematics and Theoretical Computer Science,1995.
    [51] SHANNON C E. The mathematical theory of communication[J]. The Bell System Technical Journal,1948,27(3-4):373-423,623-656.
    [52] LIANG J Y,CHIN K S,DANG C Y,YAM RICHARD C M. A new method for measuring uncertainty and fuzziness in rough set theory[J]. International Journal of General Systems,2002,31(4):331-342.
    [53] 梁吉业,钱宇华. 信息系统中的信息粒与熵理论[J]. 中国科学(E辑):信息科学,2008,38(12):2048-2065.
    [54] PANG J F,LIANG J Y. Evaluation of the results of multi-attribute group decision-making with linguistic information[J]. Omega,2012,40(3):294-301.
    [55] SONG P,LIANG J Y,QIAN Y H. A two-grade approach to ranking interval data[J]. Knowledge-Based Systems,2012,27:234-244.
    [56] LIANG J Y,WANG F,DANG C Y,QIAN Y H. A group incremental approach to feature selection applying rough set technique[J]. IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering,2014,26(2):294-308.
  • [1] 冯文杰.法益抽象化、精神化问题的中国型塑. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2020, 22(4): 148-155.doi:10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2020.9658
    [2] 吴孝灵, 吴斯达, 刘小峰.政府补偿下基于私人公平偏好的PPP项目投资决策分析. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2019, (5): 115-124.doi:10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2019.2433
    [3] 陆菊春, 欧阳寒旭, 韩璐.多主体互动博弈下建筑企业低碳转型的演化机理. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2019, (1): 17-26.doi:10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2019.0625
    [4] 张强, 李晓彤.网络嵌入对制造业企业品牌价值影响机理与作用边界的整合. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2018, (3): 90-97.doi:10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2018.2984
    [5] 詹泽雄, 吴宗法, 程国雄.基于前景价值与下偏二阶矩的投资组合优化研究. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2017, (2): 55-66.doi:10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2017.0208
    [6] 彭韶辉, 王建.中国制造业技术获取型对外直接投资的母国就业效应. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2016, (4): 86-93.doi:10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2016.0412
    [7] 姬新龙, 周孝华.基于实物期权的文化产业最优投资决策. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2014, (1): 58-63.
    [8] 王雪荣, 王丽娟, 许婷, 刘小峰, 葛世龙.基于期权理论的清洁生产技术投资价值评估. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2014, (4): 28-32.
    [9] 李玉兰, 骆素君, 吴巧云.军地一体化应急物资的连续型需求研究. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2013, (5): 102-106.
    [10] 曹国昭, 齐二石.新产品市场中创业型企业品种柔性技术决策. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2013, (5): 74-80.
    [11] 张金锁, 王涛, 邹绍辉.煤炭资源投资项目价值形成机理研究——基于实物期权. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2013, (6): 20-26.
    [12] 王崇, 刘健.消费者网络购物渠道决策——基于感知价值. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2012, (3): 62-68.
    [13] 苟灵生, 王春萍.基于熵理论的学生管理组织有序度增长机理研究. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2011, (4): 61-65.
    [14] 李秀珍, 屈锋, 庞思平, 曹群.专利文献在研究型大学中的应用价值. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2009, (2): 114-117.
    [15] 赵涛, 张建勇, 苏青福.流程型组织结构的设计及其有序度的模拟计算. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2009, (6): 68-70.
    [16] 赵振武, 唐万生.模糊实物期权理论在风险投资项目价值评价中的应用. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2006, (1): 49-51.
    [17] 郭瑞鹏.物资调运时间为区间数的最短路问题研究. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2006, (6): 29-30.
    [18] 刘泽伦, 刘小云.迈向回应型政府——全球化下政府治理范式转换的路径. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2005, (5): 67-70.
    [19] 骆珣, 李仅, 李全兴.关于项目投资决策指标的探讨. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2002, (4): 63-65.
    [20] 樊昕宇, 徐磊.风险投资咨询网络化问题研究. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2001, (1): 64-67.
  • 加载中
计量
  • 文章访问数:633
  • HTML全文浏览量:0
  • PDF下载量:953
  • 被引次数:0
出版历程
  • 收稿日期:2015-07-09
  • 刊出日期:2016-05-18

基于序化机理的稳健型股票价值投资决策——一个研究框架

doi:10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2016.0310
    基金项目:

    国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(71031006);国家自然科学基金青年项目(71301090);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金资助项目(12YJC630174);山西省高等学校创新人才支持计划资助项目(2013052006)

摘要:面对资本市场风险加剧的现实背景,以"公司经营业绩与股票市场业绩一致趋优"为稳健型投资的核心要素,立足于区间数据表示、会计信息度量两个关键要素,开展稳健型股票价值投资的多准则决策建模研究。面向稳健型投资决策目标,提出满足"稳健性""局部性""全局性"3个特性的序化机理,围绕关键特征选择、特征评价、全序化建模的主体脉络建立系统性多准则决策方法,进而构建"稳健型股票价值投资决策"的研究框架。

English Abstract

宋鹏, 梁吉业, 李常洪. 基于序化机理的稳健型股票价值投资决策——一个研究框架[J]. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2016, (3): 75-83. doi: 10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2016.0310
引用本文: 宋鹏, 梁吉业, 李常洪. 基于序化机理的稳健型股票价值投资决策——一个研究框架[J]. bob手机在线登陆学报(社会科学版), 2016, (3): 75-83.doi:10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2016.0310
SONG Peng, LIANG Jiye, LI Changhong. Research on Robust Stock Value Investing Decision Making: An Research Framework[J]. Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology (Social Sciences Edition), 2016, (3): 75-83. doi: 10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2016.0310
Citation: SONG Peng, LIANG Jiye, LI Changhong. Research on Robust Stock Value Investing Decision Making: An Research Framework[J].Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology (Social Sciences Edition), 2016, (3): 75-83.doi:10.15918/j.jbitss1009-3370.2016.0310
参考文献 (56)

目录

    /

      返回文章
      返回
        Baidu
        map