Coupling Coordinating between Carbon Emissions and Urbanization-A Case of Chinese Low Carbon Pilot Cities
-
摘要:基于2011年中国国家发改委确定的34个低碳试点城市的截面数据，构建了城市碳排放-新型城镇化系统评价体系，通过主成分分析和熵指数计算得出城市低碳发展-新型城镇化系统的综合评价指数，并进行系统协调度和协调发展度模型研究。研究结果显示，低碳试点城市碳排放与新型城镇化耦合协调具有以下几个特征：第一，低碳试点城市碳排放-新型城镇化系统耦合协调度上总体水平不高；第二，城镇化过程中，人均CO2排放量、公共服务、基础设施建设和资源环境水平不同程度地对低碳城镇化产生影响；第三，系统的协调度和协调发展度上表现出较强的空间地域性；第四，系统的协调度与协调发展度总体来说有很强的正相关性；第五，系统在新型城镇化水平、协调度、协调发展度指标和区域经济发展水平存在很强的对应关系，而城市碳排放系统、协调度、协调发展度指标与区域经济的关系并不明显。Abstract:Based on the data of 34 low carbon pilot cities in China, this paper builds up City carbon emission-New pattern urbanization system evaluation models. Mathematical and statistical analysis software of Matlab7.0 and SPSS18.0 are applied to calculate the index weights through principal component analysis and entropy evaluation methods and then get the comprehensive evaluation index of City carbon emission-New pattern urbanization system of which coordination degree model and coordination development degree model are investigated. Research result reveals that there are 4 basic consequences:first, the overall level of the coupling coordination degree of City carbon emission-New pattern urbanization system is not high; second, the system shows strong relationship between coordination degree and coordination development degree on the geographical regional type; third, the coordination degree and coordination development degree in general have a strong positive correlation; finally, the corresponding relation between the comprehensive evaluation degree, coordination degree, coordination development degree and the regional economic development level is intensively strong, on the contrary the relation is not significantly obvious between the comprehensive evaluation degree, coordination degree, coordination development degree and the city carbon emission level.
-
[1] 徐绍史. 坚定不移走中国特色新型城镇化道路[N]. 人民日报,2014-03-17(12). [2] 吴玉鸣,张燕. 中国区域经济增长与环境的耦合协调发展研究[J]. 资源科学,2008(1):25-30. [3] 江红莉,何建敏. 区域经济与生态环境系统动态耦合协调发展研究——基于江苏省的数据[J]. 软科学,2010(3):63-68. [4] 王春萍,吴媚. 西北地区人口-经济-环境耦合协调度评价——以甘肃庆阳为例[J]. 青海社会科学,2012(5):41-45. [5] 谢武贵. 湖南人口结构均衡度与经济发展的耦合协调度研究[D]. 长沙:湖南大学,2011. [6] 杜传忠,王鑫,刘忠京. 制造业与生产性服务业耦合协同能提高经济圈竞争力吗?——基于京津冀与长三角两大经济圈的比较[J]. 产业经济研究,2013(6):19-28. [7] 张沛东. 区域制造业与生产性服务业耦合协调度分析——基于中国29个省级区域的实证研究[J]. 开发研究,2010(2):46-49. [8] 赵旭,吴孟. 区域城市化与城市生态环境耦合协调发展评价——基于全国30个省区市的比较[J]. 重庆工商大学学报(西部论坛),2007(6):73-78. [9] LEIMER H P. Low carbon economy in the cities of China-possibilities to estimate the potential of CO2-emissions[J]. Energy Procedia,2015. 78:2250-2255. [10] WANG S,FANG C,GUAN X,et al. Urbanization,energy consumption,and carbon dioxide emissions in China:a panel data analysis of China's provinces[J]. Applied Energy,2014,136(C):738-749. [11] 关丽丽. 城乡统筹背景下区域城市化水平综合评价——以重庆市为例[C]. 成渝地区城乡统筹与区域合作研讨会(中国重庆),2007. [12] 臧锐,张鹏,杨青山,等. 吉林省城市化水平综合测度及时空演变[J]. 地理科学,2013(10):1231-1237. [13] 马丽,金凤君,刘毅. 中国经济与环境污染耦合度格局及工业结构解析[J]. 地理学报,2012(10):1299-1307. [14] ILLINGWORTH V. The penguin dictionary of physics[M]. Beijing:Foreign Language Press,1996. [15] 刘耀彬,王启仿. 改革开放以来中国工业化与城市化协调发展分析[J]. 经济地理,2004(5):600-603+613. -
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数:702
- HTML全文浏览量:1
- PDF下载量:557
- 被引次数:0
下载:
